National Security Council

[Jay]

​

The National Security Council of the Republic of Türkiye (MGK; Turkish: Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Millî Güvenlik Kurulu) is a constitutional consultative body that advises the President of Türkiye on matters related to national security and strategic interests.

Composed of Türkiye's senior state officials and the heads of defense and security institutions, and chaired by the President of Türkiye, the MGK functions as a central forum for the coordination and integration of national security policy.

The National Security Council includes representatives from the legislative and executive branches, with the Vice President and relevant ministers (such as those responsible for national defense, foreign affairs, and interior) regularly attending. The Chief of the General Staff and the commanders of the Armed Forces also participate as key members, contributing military perspectives to national security deliberations.

The Secretary-General of the MGK is appointed by the President of Türkiye and reports directly to the presidency. The Council assists the President in shaping and implementing national defense strategies and internal security policies.

Decisions taken by the MGK are consultative in nature but may lead to the issuance of presidential decrees, directives, or orders to execute policies aligned with Türkiye's national security goals.

 

[Jay]

Structure of the National Security Council​

Chairman	President
Deputy Chairman	Secretary for National Security Council
Regular attendees	Prime Minister Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister of National Defense Minister of Energy Minister of Finance Minister of Health Minister of Justice Ambassador to the Global Assembly Director of the National Intelligence Service Chief of Staff of the Presidential Executive Office
Military advisor (and regular attendee)	Chief of the Defense Staff
Intelligence advisor (and regular attendee)	Director of National Intelligence
Central Asia & Eastern Europe	Director for National Security and Continuity Senior Presidential Advisor for Commonwealth of Independent States & Border Provinces
Regular attendees	Deputy National Security Advisor Deputy Director of the FSB Senior Presidential Advisor for Foreign Policy
Additional participants	Senior Presidential Advisor for Legal Affairs Director of the Federal Intelligence Service Assistant to the President for Economic Policy Deputy Prime Minister -- Chief of Staff of the Government First Deputy Chiefs of Staff of the Presidential Executive Office

 

[Jay]

THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Security Classification: TOP SECRET

Security Classification: CONFIDENTIAL EYES ONLY ​ This physical document contains sensitive and highly classified information pertaining to the internal deliberations of the Russian Federal Security Council. It outlines strategic discussions on military operations, geopolitical considerations, and intelligence reports and other information deemed by the Russian Government as constituting a national security concern and invoking the privledges of state. Unauthorized disclosure of the contents herein may compromise national security and diplomatic relations. Access is strictly limited to authorized personnel with requisite clearance. List of Attendees: President Boris Nemtsov Deputy Chairman, and Secretary of the Federal Security Council Valery Vakhrukov Prime Minister Valeriya Kuzmina Minister of Foreign Affairs Lucie Albrecht Minister of Defense Abdullah Akhmetov Minister of Finance Alexei Kudrin Ambassador to the Global Assembly Director of the Federal Security Service Rashid Nurgaliyev Chief of Staff of the Presidential Executive Office Dimitry Smirnoff Senior Presidential Advisor for Legal Affairs Natalia Poklonskaya Chief of the Defense Staff General Mikhail Moiseyev Chief of the Ground Forces General Valentin Varennikov Chief of the Navy Admiral Viktor Chirkov Chief of the Aerospace Forces Colonel general Viktor Bondare

1. Opening Remarks by President Nemtsov President Nemtsov expressed his gratitude to Director Zhilov and Foreign Minister Albrecht for their efforts in the Ukraine situation. He highlighted the exceptional work done, despite some shortcomings that he attributed to Ukraine rather than internal Russian performance. He then shifted the focus to the primary issue of the meeting: Syria and Russia's efforts to combat terrorism and extremism. Nemtsov yielded the floor to Secretary Vakhrukov for further elaboration. 2. Briefing by Secretary Valery Vakhrukov Vakhrukov began by sharing the Ministry of Foreign Affairs' recent discussions with American officials. The Americans showed renewed interest in Russia's position regarding strategic weapons, regional issues, and enhanced security cooperation. This sparked mixed reactions from military officials present, some of whom were visibly frustrated. Vakhrukov then moved on to Syria, citing confirmation from Director Zhilov of growing intelligence that the IRGL and ILAL factions were coordinating efforts against Russian forces, with plans to evict them from Syrian territories. 3. Intelligence Report by Director Zhilov Director Zhilov provided intelligence updates on the movements of the IRGL and ILAL within Syria. Russian assets, particularly the operative code-named "Serpentine," confirmed that these militant factions were growing more coordinated and had started attacking each other following a GRU operation. Zhilov emphasized that without popular Syrian support, these factions could continue gaining strength. He proposed that the creation of a Syrian Army was crucial to counter the insurgency, noting that Russian forces alone would only unite the opposition. 4. Continued Intelligence Briefing by Director Zhilov Zhilov outlined a broader strategic vision for Russian influence in Syria, including targeting Kurdish infrastructure and utilizing factional divides to Russia's advantage. He stressed the importance of supporting a Syrian government that could remain loyal to Russian interests. He also mentioned the challenges posed by internal Kurdish divisions, recommending GRU negotiations to assess the situation in Kurdish-held Deir-e-zor. 5. Response by General Varennikov Varennikov reiterated his focus on military action, proposing a large-scale operation to retake key Syrian cities like Hama and Homs. He emphasized the need for decisive action, calling for the deployment of 40,000 ground personnel, air support, and heavy armor to secure a swift victory over extremist forces. He urged President Nemtsov to authorize the operation without delay, expressing disdain for prolonged negotiations. 6. Intervention by Foreign Minister Albrecht Foreign Minister Albrecht warned against a prolonged military presence in Syria, framing it as an occupation that would only serve to unite Russia’s enemies, particularly the IRGL and ILAL. She pointed out that while Russia had legal justification for its presence, further escalation would alienate both regional and international actors, including potential allies like the United States. Albrecht argued for a more diplomatic approach, utilizing international law to weaken the influence of external powers such as France and Thailand in Syria. 7. Exchange Between Varennikov and Albrecht Varennikov countered Albrecht's position, dismissing American guarantees as unreliable and advocating for an aggressive military strategy to eliminate opposition factions before they could consolidate power. He argued that Russia must seize the opportunity to act decisively in Syria, regardless of reputational risks. Albrecht responded by reiterating that a Russo-American alliance was a necessity in countering French and Thai influence. She cautioned that Varennikov’s proposed operation could backfire, galvanizing support for extremist groups and further destabilizing the region. 8. Closing Remarks by Chief of the Defense Staff, General Mikhail Moiseyev General Moiseyev provided a more measured perspective, acknowledging the global instability and fragmentation of the current order. He noted that while military operations could eliminate short-term threats, the long-term solution required establishing a stable Syrian government. Moiseyev emphasized that Russia's strategy must consider both military and diplomatic outcomes to prevent the resurgence of IRGL and ILAL forces. Summary of Key Points: Intelligence reports confirm increased coordination between IRGL and ILAL factions, threatening Russian interests in Syria. General Varennikov advocates for a large-scale military operation to retake key cities and eliminate extremist factions. Foreign Minister Albrecht cautions against escalation, warning that a prolonged military presence could unite opposition factions and harm Russia’s regional and international standing. General Moiseyev calls for a balanced approach, combining military action with efforts to stabilize a future Syrian government. Action Items: Further intelligence gathering and GRU negotiations in Deir-e-zor regarding Kurdish factions. Consideration of military deployment for a six-month operation in Hama and Homs, pending President Nemtsov’s approval. Continued diplomatic engagement with the United States regarding strategic cooperation and the Syrian conflict.

END OF MEETING MINUTES​

The Russian Government Complex was abuzz with the early morning routine. Officials and aides navigated the sprawling corridors of the complex as they went about their morning. Many clocked in and began working on their tasks while others roamed the offices to find their friends and drink tea. Sunlight streamed through the expansive windows, casting long shadows that stretched across the polished floors as two figures began to break the long shadows.

President Boris Nemtsov and Prime Minister Valeriya Kuzmina walked together through the complex. The corridors seemed to stretch for miles as the two walked from the Prime Minister's office to the national security chambers. Aides stepped aside as the two men walked through the building.
“It is unfortunate,” Nemtsov began, his voice a low rumble. “I had hoped the Thais would heed caution.”

Kuzmina nodded in agreement. “Indeed. I must say, I had hoped the same. Alas, they have dug their own grave, I am afraid to say. I would like to mention that perhaps it is time to reconsider our stance in light of the evolving global coalition.”

“I do not think we have the political will to join forces with the Americans,” Nemtsov said. “Neither do I think the public would be happy if we joined a coalition with the Americans and now the crisis developing in Syria to race to the Pacific to showdown with Tojo’s reincarnation.”

Kuzmina nodded, trying to steer the conversation. “Great leadership requires difficult decisions, Boris. However, I am in agreement that there is limited political capital for us to expend in joining the military coalition. Much less any political appetite by the electorate for the war. Still, I doubt we will have much choice in the end. As we speak, the French fleet hurdles towards Syria, the Thai delegation is landing in Kiev, and the Americans are watching us be humiliated on the world stage while they huddle in their war rooms with London to discuss their plans. As they decide their course of action, it is likely one way or another we will be required to make choices. The current quietness is just a condition of war; do not let it make you feel so comfortable,” Valeriya said as the two arrived at an elevator and took it down to the chambers.

"I've reviewed the reports and after-action assessments by the GRU," Nemtsov said as he looked down at his shoes and rolled them around. "Irrespective of what others may feel, I have no intention of watering the grounds of Europe with Russian blood for a crisis that the French are trying to stir up to justify their anachronistic existence. Our best course of action is containment," Nemtsov said as the sounds of the doors opening cut him off. The two walked out of the elevator as he continued. "Containment is the best possible outcome of the conflict. If the current path continues, it'll spell the end of the peace of Europe that we fought to bring about at the end of the Second World War."

"I believe that ship has already sailed," Kuzmina said with a sigh. "The Romania Crisis, the revolution in Ukraine, and now Napoleon’s reincarnation, peace in Europe has been precarious at best for the past decade. If the French cause Russian casualties, it'll be the end of any possibility of joining an alliance together with France. Without them Italy and Germany will be unlikely to join a European integration project. I very much doubt we will fare better than the Amsterdam summit that failed several months ago.”
Nemtsov nodded. The two ended up outside the chamber room as the door was opened by two soldiers in dress uniform. In the national security chamber, the air was thick as Nemtsov and Kuzmina stepped into the room. Clocks on the wall displayed the time in major capitals—Damascus, Washington D.C., Paris, and Bangkok. Past the secretariat offices and desks was the Council Room. The Council Room was adorned with rich wood paneling and a large oval table at its center.

As they stepped into the Federal Security Council room, they were greeted by Admiral Viktor Chirkov, who had arrived ahead of the others. Chirkov offered a firm handshake as he greeted the two. “Mr. President, Madame Prime Minister, I hope all is well. How are your families?”

“Doing well, thank you, Viktor,” Nemtsov replied. “And yours?”

“They’re good, thank you. My daughter was excited for the family trip to London but that has been canceled due to the situation,” Chirkov responded, though his eyes carried a hint of fatigue. “It’s been a busy time for all of us,” he conceded.

Chirkov’s tone grew more serious. “Before the meeting, I wanted to discuss the situation in the Mediterranean Sea. I understand that the French position in the Eastern Mediterranean is continually becoming a concern. Whilst I understand our presence was initially aimed to support ground operations in Syria, I believe a far more forceful presence focused to deter French aggression is necessary. I have received your request for a recommendation of deploying surveillance and warships to closely monitor the area and ensure France does not violate the sovereignty of Syria.”

Kuzmina nodded as she listened and added, “Yes, we wanted to explore the option. Given the current geopolitical situation, it'll be important to proceed cautiously. In light of the GA’s shortcomings, it is likely nationalists in Paris would look to any opportunity to exploit the current insecurity in Europe to justify further aggression or unpredictable judgment. At least to demonstrate they are serious and dry up any domestic opposition to the current regime.”

Chirkov: "It is not just the waters. It is also Syria," he said, looking back at the large map of Russia’s bases in Syria and the Mediterranean. "Based on your initial operational question on operational adjustments, Naval Intelligence advises that any escalation in Syria would necessitate reallocation of resources from our plans in the Donbas. Specifically, we would need to redeploy manpower and military assets from the southeast to the southwest to support the Syria forces.

Addressing your second question, our current assessment indicates that the French military build up lacks the offensive capability for a military break through our naval defense line. The current fleet is made up of transport and escort vessels with a Charles de Gaulle class aircraft carrier providing the main air capabilities to support the fleet. If the French choose to attack then they will ultimately be destroyed. Our naval, land, and air assets at this time simply will overwhelm their capabilities. However, at a cost to Russian servicemembers. A factor which will likely implicate political considerations.

The current asset is that France is seeking to use this opportunity to deal with its domestic crisis of legitimacy. Moreover, the GRU believes France is trying to reclaim its imperial hegemony in the Middle East, with Syria as a testing ground for future operations. The unholy matrimony between Communist Thailand and Imperialist France finds common ground on that. They both seek to expand. Nevertheless, the French can not land in Syria without violating Syrian sovereignty nor can they enter without making it past the Russian zone of control. In essence, the French are trying to force us to shoot first to feign victimhood. While an escalation might yield some minor gains for France if additional assets are moved to Syria, it would likely lead to defeat for France and allow us to maintain our advantage in Syria.

For now, I recommend notifying the Baltic Fleet to make haste to join the Black Sea Fleet off the coast of Syria and for air-to-sea capabilities to be sent to Khmeimim Air Base. As well as a remain on high alert status for our forces, but no further immediate measures are necessary."

Nemtsov: "I’d like to believe the Empress is not interested in an escalation. However, their accusations against us in the news only goes to show that they need a scapegoat. However, my fear is that a war with France will divert crucial resources to our domestic plans and desires for European integration. No doubt their visits to Kiev are done to this effect. However, creating an issue out of Syria will only mean that we are on a collision course. I simply want to avoid giving other nations ammunition to discredit us as we move forward." Chirkov handed a binder adorned with the coat of arms of Russia to Nemtsov.

Chirkov: "Our current assessment is that we don't see any indication of a French plan for escalation elsewhere. However, we believe that the rise of potential threats from France should be noted. The Empress and her nationalists are increasingly finding an audience. Her coronation as an Empress alongside the rebranding of the French state are not just symbols. Rather they are a serious attempt to rebuild the French Empire and in our view restore French hegemony over Europe. Least to say her intelligence agencies are made up of royal stooges who harbor anti-Russian stances which are becoming more popular. It would not be shameless to say that the DGSE might have planted those bot accounts to appear Russian in nature.

Kuzmina: "The Empress’ history and her domestic and foreign policies suggest she wouldn't seek to provoke a crisis to gain support. However, I do believe the Canada Crisis had shocked her and she would now rather adopt a more aggressive preemptive policy to get ahead of future crises. I believe her domestic situation is precarious but rather she suffers from psychological issues.”

Chirkov: "Yes. The potential rise of political instability as concerns of economic stagnation continue to grow. We will need to remain vigilant. Nonetheless, as a professional assessment, Naval Intelligence does not suspect the French Government of seeking an immediate escalation elsewhere in Europe. A possible scenario is that the French Government may seek to respond to our maneuvers as a sign of resistance to avoid being seen as weak. It is likely that the sustained and growing trend of French militarization must demonstrate results and she sees Syria as an outlet for that.”

Kuzmina: "Our primary focus should be preparing our armed forces for action against the IRGL and ILAL. This extension and redeployment will require that we double down on our presence in Syria and bolster the Syria-Force. But I must caution against overextension. Patrolling the Black Sea, the Baltic, and the Mediterranean is already stretching our resources thin."

Nemtsov: "Viktor, can we handle multiple fronts? What's the status of our capabilities?"

Chirkov: “Mr. President, we have the capabilities, but it boils down to financing and resource allocation. We can manage simultaneous operations, but it will strain our budget and logistics. In addition, the potential for the outbreak of a regional conflict with France would be different from fighting the Syrian rebels. My suggestion would be that we increase surveillance and intelligence gathering in Western Europe. We need to stay ahead of any French moves. At the same time, our forces can still begin preparations for kinetic action against the Syrians." Kuzmina nodded as she listened and added.

Kuzmina: “I agree, but I think given the current geopolitical situation, it'll be important to proceed cautiously. In light of the GA’s shortcomings, it is likely the French would look to any opportunity to exploit the current insecurity in Europe to justify further aggression or unpredictable judgment. At least to demonstrate they are serious and dry up domestic support for the current government.” The President took a deep breath and rubbed his temple.

Nemtsov: “Very well. I want a detailed plan for increasing our surveillance and naval presence in Western Europe. And Viktor, coordinate with the Ministry of Defense on reallocating resources as needed. Let’s prepare for all eventualities.”Chirkov nodded, “

Chirkov: "Absolutely,” Chirkov concurred. “Vigilance can be achieved without aggression. I can inform the Southern Military District to enhance its monitoring operations of the French forces in the Mediterranean while also having Naval Command prepare appropriate deployments to Western Europe Cyprus." He said as he handed the two men a black binder with the Russian Seal on it. "

Nemtsov: “Thank you, Admiral." Hoping the French Government would calm the Empress and avoid an escalation, a hope that continued to dry in the face of growing French fanaticism last seen during the Napoleonic Wars. “. I would also like to speak with the Commander of the Southern Military District and Syria Force Commander after our council meeting.”

Chirkov nodded, but before he could respond, Minister of National Defense Abdullah Akhmetov entered the room first, followed by Valentin Varennikov, Commander of the Land Forces, and General Hasan Küçükakyüz, Commander of the Air Force. The military brass and minister greeted Nemtsov, Kuzmina, and Chirkov. “Gentlemen how are you?” Nemtsov asked as they gave mixed answers. Their tones mute after long hours in preparation of Tigris Shield.

Chief of Military Intelligence, Brigadier General Mili Zhilov, a man who liked to sulk in the shadows of these kinds of meetings, entered next, his eyes darker after weeks of visiting Syria. He exchanged nods with Nemtsov and Kuzmina, his mind likely still processing the type of response he'd give if pressed about the exposure from Paris.


Shortly afterward, Senior Presidential Advisor for Foreign Policy Yuri Nikolaev and Minister of Foreign Affairs Lucie Albrecht entered together, engaging in a low-voiced conversation that ceased as they took their seats. Albrecht adjusted her skirt as she sat down and looked at the President and inquired on his health. Nikolaev opened his binder to review the agenda as the others engaged in small talk.
As the meeting got ready to settle, General Nikolay Makarov, Senior Presidential Advisor on Defense Policy & Military Affairs whose demeanor was more relaxed than the others, entered and came to greet Nemtsov before taking his seat. Prompting Nemtsov to start the meeting.

Nemtsov: "Thank you all for coming today. Firstly, let me express my gratitude to Director Zhilov and Foreign Minister Albrecht for their efforts to deal with the Ukraine situation. It does not need to be said further that your efforts were exceptional, despite their shortcomings, which ultimately is the failure of Ukraine rather than of your own." Nemtsov said with a pause as he looked at the agenda to see where to move the conversation. "The basis of this national security council meeting is to discuss the situation in Syria and our efforts to combat terrorism and extremism that has proliferated. I will yield to the Deputy Chairman, Secretary of the Federal Security Council Valery Vakhrukov." He said as he turned off his microphone and let Vakhrukov speak.

Vakhrukov: "Thank you Mr. President." Vakhrukov said as he looked at his meeting notes "The Ministry of Foreign Affairs informed our office following consultations with American officials of efforts of the American to understand our position on the use of strategic weapons, the regional portfolio, and also enhancing security cooperation." As Vakhrukov said this some of the military generals would give angered faces while others were visibly frustrated at such news. "Foreign Minister Albrecht based on the minutes provided emphasized that this inquiry went further than previous conversations and demonstrates a renewed interest by the Americans to enhance cooperation. Which leads us to the Syria question.

Director Zhilov has corroborated our concerns about this agenda. Director Zhilov has confirmed that there is growing chatter by the IRGL, and that the ILAL efforts have been communicated to other Syrian militant groups operating in the area that they will likely forcefully evict the Russians following the February declaration. The GRU has monitored IRGL cells inside ILAL territory and based on their undercover operatives have highlighted several new routes that are enabling the IRGL a greater degree of freedom of movement within ILAL territory. I would like to yield to Director Zhilov to brief us on these developments."Zhilov who had been rubbing his temples for a while would look up after being called.

Zhilov: "Yes," he said as he took a moment to gather himself. "The ILAL/IRGL has become more effective at rooting out our assets but serpentine remains well positioned. He passed on critical intelligence of ILAL’s efforts to move their personnel out of IRGL territory and into its controlled territory. We've intercepted several efforts to move material assets including explosives and heavy weapons. In addition, serpentine confirmed our initial concerns of greater coordination between the IRGL and ILAL factions and efforts to coordinate their presence and attack the Russian Sector.
The GRU undertook several operations aimed at undermining this cooperation. I can say with great confidence that the operation was successful and the ILAL and IRGL have begun attacking each other. I hope serpentine will corroborate that position however we have yet to make contact. This means the ILAL and IRGL will operate with less freedom of movement across the region. Furthermore, this means both will be desperate to gain the upper hand over each other. They will likely also turn to gain support from the public since the fall of the regime has led to a sort of crisis over succession.

The creation of a Syrian Army will need to be considered. Russian forces will only unite the Syrian factions. Our support to a Syrian military will negate the concerns we have due to the floodgate from which a new Syrian insurgency will be born due to Russia’s presence. If not openly supported by the Syrian public, the IRGL and ILAL then passively continue to have popular support. I also understand that the reality before us is that a Syrian government will likely form. Whilst not inevitable, to seek to tackle it will ostracize us from what I see as a critically important partner. Dipl..."

Varennikov: "Are we seriously entertaining this!" General Varennikov blurted out, his face red and his voice bellowing throughout the council room causing the others to go silent. "You would have us negotiate with those terrorists who have slain our men and women. Bomb innocent civilians. And give them a place of refuge?" He asked as he looked around the room engulfed in silence."The solution is simple. Tell those blood-sucking leeches of the French to go to hell...We will crush the terrorists in all its forms. I will not let the memory of our slain comrades be cast to dust so you can scurry like rats to the crumbs the Americans will give you." Varennikov said, his eyes widening as his shouting could almost break through the closure of the doors, ringing out in the hallways.

Zhilov: "Are you done?" He said as his bloodshot eyes looked directly at Varennikov."The general is gravely mistaken if he believes we are here to discuss supporting a French role in Syria. If he had spent that time and energy towards the operational planning rather than his own ego..."

Valentin Varennikov: "You little..."

Zhilov: "Little what?" Zhilov said looking at Varennikov "Good ahead. Say it." Nemtsov would bang the table.

Nemtsov: "Enough. Do you not hear yourselves? Are you members of my federal security council or old uncles arguing at a tea house?" He asked looking at the two. Before Varennikov could say anything he cut him off. "Director Zhilov, please continue." Nemtsov said rather frustratingly.

Zhilov: “The Kurdish position for expansionary politics is limited. If we take the assurances of the Americans at face value, then we can focus our energy in pushing the French out of Syria, rebuilding an alternative to the ILAL & IRGL and supporting a Syrian government that is reformist, inclusive, and most importantly successful. An independent Kurdistan would be able to find global support and will likely become the source of global attention. The Kurdish rebels have historically looked to the West. I believe we should consider preemptive strikes against any infrastructure in their region alternatively. We could consider uniting the Kurdish and our faction to fight the ILAL and IRGL.
The main challenge is to convince whatever authority that replaces the Kurdish regional authority that maintaining their security and economic arrangement with us is beneficial. I would recommend a GRU negotiating team be sent to Deir-e-zor in the next few days to gauge the situation in Deir-e-zor. It would be prudent to remember that the Kurds do not control most of its own territory. In addition to inner Kurdish factionalism between the PKK-YBJ, PYD, and ruling KCK. The current power sharing arrangement between the YPJ and KCK is very tenuous.

The most honest assessment of the Kurdistan Region is that it is effectively two states within a regions, ruled by two different parties, armies, and security forces. This bifurcation of the state allows us flexibility to prop up Arab and Turkmens in any future Kurdish Republic. The Kurdish loyalists are mostly from the north of the region and Bahdini-speakers, while the reformists support are almost exclusively from the Sorani-speaking area,.

In addition, the Syrian Kurds have had successive secession crisis in recent years and it has yet to solidify a state or any governing institutions. Rather, they have devolved communitarian system of government which has mostly worked. It is a

Varennikov: “Mr. President.” Valentin said, pulling down his army jacket. “The ILAL and IRGL existence has been prolonged because of the very fact we’ve allowed the Islamist factions to play with us. Let the ILAL and IRGL kill each other. I care not for them. I care for the blood of the citizens of our Federation being shed by cowardly terrorists. Peace can not be secured with the two factions alive. If we are to place any trust in an American guarantee, I fear its weight is as insubstantial as a feather—unreliable and susceptible to the whims of the wind.

We have successfully eradicated the ILAL & IRGL presence, systematically driving them from their strongholds near our sector. I agree with the Brigadier General. We need to create an alternative. But that is for the politicians to build. Any Syrian Army will not be combat effective for months.

Mr. President. Allow us to take the fight to the extremists. We can’t be reactive. Our proposed operation will commence with two thrusts to Hama and Homs. The proposal is that the 247th Guards Air Assault Regiment and 108th Guards Air Assault Regiment will attack Hama. The 247th will land to take the out of function airport while the 108th will secure the M5 highway that intersects the city. The airborne assault will focus on retaking the forward operating base for any anti-Russian activities. At the same time the 132nd Separate Guards Motor Rifle Gorlovka Brigade will move to retake Ar Rastan to cut off the Hama-Homs corridor.

Subsequently, elements of the 132nd will maneuver northward to support the Airborne fighting in Hama. The 55th Guards Mountain Motor Rifle Brigade will move to take Homs and recapture


To achieve this, we require the deployment of 40,000 ground personnel, comprising four combat brigades. These forces will necessitate the support of 2,000 armored fighting vehicles, tanks, and other ground assets. Additionally, air support will be critical, with a requirement for 50 combat aircraft, 200 transport helicopters, and 75 attack helicopters to ensure operational success.

We project a six-month timeline for this operation, followed by a sustained military presence to maintain stability. Mr. President I am urging you to find the strength to tackle this challenge. We can not kick it down the road for the next generation of Russians to fight.”

Albrecht: “A prolonged military presence?” Lucie said looking at the General, I believe the right term you are looking for General is occupation.”

Varennikov: “There are currently more than 50,000 Russian soldiers in Syria across the control zone. We are already in an occupation, Madame Foreign Minister. The reality is that what we have is unsustainable. Fragmented policy that will not provide or secure victory. The ILAL and IRGL consolidating control will only make it more difficult later one to fight the them. We must take the advantage even if there are reputational risks. A unified Syria will mean that our advantages will be restricted. We need to strike and strike decisively.” Valentin said as he banged his finger on the operational plan binder.

Albrecht: “If I may Mister President.” Lucie asked, continuing after Nemtsov nodded. “The current presence of Russian troops will likely only enflame regional tensions and allow adversaries like France or Thailand to take advantage of the chaos to eject us. We however have the rule of law on our side. The succession of the Syrian Government is in question, the Syrian military can be reoganized, only Russia has the legal basis to be in Syria, that is all to say that international law supports us. IRGL and ILAL can not speak for the Syrian people and if they bring a communist regime on the warpath with Islam or their former colonial oppressors they will quickly seek to eject the IRGL and ILAL. At the moment what unites the two is a fear of Russia and if we use our offensive ability. As a matter of fact, they are probably waiting for us to escalate the conflict to galvanize the people under their control.

The future f Syria is not a guaranteed political reality. A Russian military intervention and occupation will provide the grounds for the IRGL and ILAL to not only swell but also bring the Syrian people together. I am sorry but an operation of this scale would not only damage our regional standing, it would isolate us completely at a time where international law supports us. It would open the door for more French and Thai military interference in Syria and other regional actors. It would push America away from us at a time where we…”

Varennikov: “We what?” Valentin said, looking at the Foreign Minister.

Albrecht: “At a time where America is equally concerned about the integration of the Franco-Thai alliance and the exchange of advanced weapons systems to the Thai. Don’t be so naive General. We don’t…“

Varennikov: “I am not naive Minister. However, to take the Americans at their word? They made promises before and ignored them when it suited their interests. Yes, the law is on our side. It is time to exploit it and to ensure that there is nothing left for France or Thailand to influence in Syria. I refuse to let that become a reality.”

Albrecht: “The Americans were clear. I believe that a Russo-American alliance is not only possible, it is a necessity against France and Thailand. The crisis in Syria will only be the first of many. The DGSE made it clear that Thai communism is not a threat to France, it is Russia and America that are a threat. Thailand is not interested in sharing the global stage and France appears to have been convinced of that mission. They are testing that vision in Syria. General that is the political reality we face.

Varennikov: “A political reality that would unleash chaos and destruction for decades to come.”

Chief of the Defense Staff General Mikhail Moiseyev: “I think what the General is trying to get across is that we must take stock of the reality that the current fragmentation of the global order only has one outcome. Instability. If a Syrian Government can not have effective control outside of pockets of towns that we control then the IRGL and ILAL will continue to flourish and exploit the lawlessness present. If there is a Syrian Government and it is run by Russia then the outcome will be instability and a growth of the IRGL/ILAL. I am not here to doubt the Americans sincerity that they do not wish to see France and Thailand rise. However, I am skeptical that they wish to see Russia rise either.

For France, once the floodgates are open, it doesn’t matter what Paris wants. Russia must respond with overwhelming and decisive force to eliminate the threat that France poses. Should they dare to spill the blood of Russians we must teach them a lesson that the Canadians failed to do. This is the natural course forward in light of the circumstances before us. Anything less will give them the sense of continued impunity and it will impunge the global order.

As for counter-insurgency warfare. These groups often rely on ideals. Ideals which inspire humans to commit the most vile of atrocities. I am not opposed to using inner-Syrian factionalism to our advantage, however, we also do not know who will run a united Syrian government. The logical deduction is that either a new Syrian faction will emerge or the ILAL and IRGL have united. I highly doubt any faction, if they wish to be alive to be completely honest, will give up Syrian autonomy from Russia.” Before Lucie could respond Admiral Chirkov would chime in.

Chirkov: “I believe that there must be further negotiating done with the Americans on this topic. Kinetic action is a strong tool however it has its limits. Any prolonged ground offensive will require us to conduct a multi-phase occupation with manpower constraints upwards of 150,000. We’re not just talking about combat brigades but auxiliary support, logistics, and other assets.

If it is possible to fragment the Syrian opposition before it forms a government, then we should exploit that. If the Syrians are willing to create a new movement to counter the ILAL and IRGL we must be sincere in our efforts to support it. For starters a qualitative military edge for Russia in the region will be necessary to counteract the Thai base in Türkiye. Our ability to strike the base is an important part of our multi-domaine action plan against Thailand.

Of course the Foreign Minister is right. We should consider the law, our foreign partners, and a desire to build a sustainable order in our response. Yet, we must be realistic. I am certain any successive Syrian Government will want our forces gone. We must find a suitable partner but we may not get that and if so we run the real risk of being truly isolated in Syria.


Zhilov: “When the Syrians go back on their word, as they usually do, we will be left to face the reality of the situation we’ve created. I am sure the Minister can find the language .” Mili said with a smile looking at the Foreign Minister. Before.

Varennikov: “The day will come when we will go to war. I wish you had the courage to realize that now. You will all condemn our children to fighting that war.”

Albrecht: “Enough. This is absolutely ludicrous. Have none of you taken stock of the world outside of this room. Do you not realize that for the past decade we’ve slowly lost ground in the region and are increasingly isolated. I mean seriously. We’re talking a full-blown military offensive with the potential of war with France.

The Russian people will not permit it. The Syrians will rise up. The IRGL and ILAL will exploit the situation. The Syrians will ask the French and Thais to send their forces in. All of a sudden your simple operation will become a regional conflict we can’t contain.

We need to be sensible. We all agree we need to avoid Syria becoming a terror state. However if we can not find a suitable partner than we need to consider that we must negotiate with the IRGL. I am not saying to just hold hands together and sing kumbaya. No. I am saying we need to look at how we can turn this situation to our advantage.”

Varennikov: “Advantage how? The mere fact we are considering rewarding the IRGL is a mistake.”

Zhilov: “Why, do you own them or something?” Zhilov asked with his eyebrows raised. “The Minister is right, despite my disagreements, we can not delude ourselves into thinking this will be some simple routine military plan. If we prematurely intervene we are giving the IRGL and ILAL everything they need to survive. We are winning General, but that is because we are being smart and tactful.

We need to snuff out Syrian extremism. You will just give it oxygen General." As the tension in the room continued to grow, President Nemtsov spoke.


Nemtsov: “I’ve heard enough gentlemen.” Nemtsov said with a sigh. “I appreciate your counsel. All of you. However the General is not wrong. For weeks now we’ve seen an uptick in IRGL and ILAL activities, it is likely they are stockpiling weapons and armaments. Their intended goal, to either use them on our population or to reign terror in Syria. I will not standby idly and let them do either. It is clear we are faced with complex and multifaceted challenges. The rise of a potential Syrian government, the geopolitical shifts in Europe, and our internal security concerns are not issues to be taken lightly. However, running into a crisis blind will only ensure further national humiliation.

He paused, allowing his words to sink in. "However, a full-scale military intervention in Syria will require more deliberation and consensus. For now, we will enhance our surveillance and diplomatic efforts to ensure our security without unnecessary escalation. I will brief the Cabinet and continue to monitor the situation closely. In the meantime, I appreciate all your views. Let us focus this energy towards the next concrete steps. Minister Albrecht please, let's hear what the Americans have to say.

I would appreciate it if the Americans will see eye to eye with us on the France issue and the Syria question before we proceed unilaterally. I believe we should at the very least show we are consulting them. It will serve its weight in gold later. In addition to making us a partner across the Atlantic at a time where we sorely need them. However, General, I ask that you present your proposed operation regardless so that I may consult with the Federal Parliamentary leaders and the full federal security council. Include potential retaliatory strikes against France’s Mediterranean fleet bases in Southern France and other military facilities."

Varennikov: "We will develop a proposal for your office to review within two weeks Mr. President."

Nemtsov: Thank you General."